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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills preview

Blogged under Big Pats News,Bloglockers,If I was going to bet the farm.....,This Week's Matchup Report by Andrew on Friday 18 December 2009 at 7:57 pm

The New England Patriots (8-5) have not been very good on the road this year, but that will likely change this week as they take on the Buffalo Bills (5-8).  The Patriots have beat the Bills in 12 straight matchups, and I don’t expect this one to be any different despite all of the negative things that have been surrounding the Patriots lately.  Tom Brady is a little banged up, but he still should be able to take advantage of the unimpressive Bills’ defense.  They are better at stopping the pass than the run though, so Laurence Maroney should get a lot of carries.  It’s also probably going to be very cold with snow being a real possibility, giving the Patriots more incentive to run the ball.  That and the fact that the Bills give up 170 rushing yards per game.

Defensively, the Patriots need to keep Terrell Owens in check.  TO has been much more effective lately and has 3 touchdowns in the past four games.  He has been battling an illness though, and may not play because of it.  They will likely be running the ball a lot though, as Fitzpatrick’s numbers have been far from impressive.  They average 113 rushing yards per game, so the Patriots defense needs to be ready for the run.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION:  New England Patriots 24, Buffalo Bills 14

New England Patriots @ New Orleans Saints preview

Blogged under Big Pats News,Bloglockers,If I was going to bet the farm.....,This Week's Matchup Report by Andrew on Saturday 28 November 2009 at 9:14 am

The New England Patriots (7-3) are heading south in what I expect to be one of the best games of the season against the New Orleans Saints (10-0) on Monday Night Football.  If the Patriots don’t end the Saint’s undefeated season Monday night, then the Saints are very likely going to tie the Patriots 16-0 season from 2007 since their schedule is not very difficult after this week.  The Saints have an electric offense, so even though the Pats are holding opponents to 187 passing yards per game, the Saints offense is going to find success.  Drew Brees has 22 touchdowns and has been having an MVP caliber season.  They also have a three-back attack in the running game, with Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush, and Mike Bell all contributing to the 154 rushing yard average per game.  The Patriots offense is going to need to be on top of their game, and it should be a shoot-out.

Tom Brady and the Pats’ offense has been just as impressive at times this year as the Saints’ offense has been.  Brady has been going to his favorite target Wes Welker even more than usual lately, as teams have been trying to shut down Randy Moss and the deep ball.  Welker has been so successful lately that it may open that deep ball back up for Brady and Moss.  The Saints’ defense is giving up 330 yards per game, compared to the Patriots’ defense who only gives up 297 per game.  I think Brady and the Pats’ offense will be able to keep up with Brees and the Saints, and I am going to go with the Patriots with a late field goal for the win.  This should be a very exciting game.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION:  New England Patriots 34, New Orleans Saints 31

New England Patriots vs New York Jets preview

Blogged under Big Pats News,Bloglockers,If I was going to bet the farm.....,This Week's Matchup Report by Andrew on Friday 20 November 2009 at 11:18 pm

The New England Patriots (6-3) are hosting the New York Jets (4-5) this week and are looking for revenge.  The Jets beat them 16-9 in week 2 and the Patriots were shocked.  That was when Tom Brady was still struggling and adjusting after returning from his knee surgery that kept him out the entire 2008 season.  The real Tom Brady is back and I don’t think the Jets will have an answer for him and the Patriots offense.  He has been finding Randy Moss for some big touchdown passes and hitting Wes Welker and a lot of catch and run plays.  They are also averaging 114 rushing yards per game, so it will  be a big challenge for the Jets to contain Brady and the Patriots.

The Patriots offense needs to key in on stopping the run.  The Jets limit what their rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez does, as Sanchez tends to throw a lot of interceptions when he is given too much freedom.  The Jets average 170 rushing yards per game, so they don’t exactly need Sanchez to have big games.  So, if the Patriots can shut down Jets’ running back Thomas Jones then they will win the game for sure.  It will force Sanchez to throw more, most likely leading to some Patriots interceptions.  The Jets have a strong defense though and may be able to contain the Patriots offense some, but it wont be enough and the Patriots should win easily.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION:  New England Patriots 31, New York Jets 20

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts preview

Blogged under Big Pats News,Bloglockers,If I was going to bet the farm.....,This Week's Matchup Report by Andrew on Friday 13 November 2009 at 10:04 pm

This is the matchup of the year, with Tom Brady and the New England Patriots (6-2) taking on Peyton Manning and his Indianapolis Colts (8-0).  I think this will be a Brady-Manning shootout and it should be pretty exciting to watch.  Although both defenses are solid, both Manning and Brady are great quarterbacks who perform well on the big stage so it will be hard stopping either one.  Manning has passed for over 300 yards in every game but one this season, so the Patriots secondary better be ready for a long day.  They need to be ready to adjust on the field, as Manning loves to audible at the line scrimmage.  He also has a talented Joseph Addai to hand off to, so the linebackers are going to need to help the front line shut the running game down.

The Patriots offense should be able go keep up with Manning and the Colts.  The Colts are holding teams to under 200 passing yards per game, but they have not had to play Tom Brady, Randy Moss, and Wes Welker yet.  I don’t see how they will keep them under 200 yards with Welker slicing through the middle of the field and Moss a deep threat on every play.  The running game should help do some damage too, as the Colts give up 108 rushing yards per game.  I am really looking forward to this game and I am expecting a high scoring close game.  Peyton Manning has been playing some of his best football all season though, so I am taking them in a very close win.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION:  Indianapolis Colts 38, New England Patriots 35

New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers preview

Blogged under Bloglockers,If I was going to bet the farm.....,This Week's Matchup Report by Andrew on Friday 23 October 2009 at 7:13 pm

Tom Brady and the New England Patriots (4-2) put on a record breaking show last week, and will be bringing that show to London, England this Sunday against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-6).  Brady had a record-breaking five touchdowns in one quarter last week when the Patriots crushed the winless Tennessee Titans 59-0.  The Patriots are taking on another winless team in the Buccaneers and I am expecting another big game from Brady and the Patriots’ offense.  The Buccaneers are completely over-matched in this one and they could be embarrassed just like the Titans were last week.

The Bucs have had difficulty getting consistency out of the quarterback position and Josh Johnson is their starter after Byron Leftwich was benched after week three.  The Patriots defense should look to force some turnovers as Johnson has thrown five interceptions in the past three games.  The Bucs running game is pretty effective though, so they need to key in on stopping Cadillac Williams and Josh Johnsons’ scrambling.  They averaged about 100 rushing yards per game and if the Patriots can shut down their run, then the Bucs have no chance. This should be another blowout for the Patriots and the British will be able to see what real football is like.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION:  New England Patriots 35, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13

New England Patriots vs Tennessee Titans preview

Blogged under Big Pats News,Bloglockers,If I was going to bet the farm.....,This Week's Matchup Report by Andrew on Friday 16 October 2009 at 9:52 pm

The New England Patriots (3-2) are at home this week against the Tennessee Titans (0-5), and should have no problem against them.    The Patriots have been solid this year, but have not looked like the dominate team of recent years.  Tom Brady is still working his way back to his 2007 form, and this should be a great opportunity for him to have a break out game.  Brady has been decent this year, throwing 1344 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions, but still looks a little rusty after missing all of last season.

The Titans have been awful this year, so the Patriots defense should not have a problem. The Titans have been bad all-around this season, with their running game being the one bright spot.  They average 127 rushing yards a game, but when they are down every game it doesn’t do them much good.  Stopping the run is probably the Patriots weakest aspect, giving up 96.8 rushing yards per game.  They should build an early lead though, so the Titans probably wont run the ball often.  I’m expecting to see a Patriots offense that looks like the 2007 Patriots, so this should be a blowout.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION:  New England Patriots 34, Tennessee Titans 14

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos preview

Blogged under Bloglockers,If I was going to bet the farm.....,This Week's Matchup Report by Andrew on Friday 9 October 2009 at 9:46 pm

The New England Patriots (3-1) are headed to the Rocky Mountains to take on the Denver Broncos (4-0).  The Patriots will be facing one of their former coaches and a Bill Belichick student, Josh McDaniels.  McDaniels has done a great job in his first year as head coach, as the 33-year-old has led his team to an undefeated record so far.  The defense and running game been been the main reasons the Broncos have been successful, so the Patriots will need to bring a solid effort on both sides of the ball.

Tom Brady has looked very rusty throughout the first few games, and the Broncos have been doing a good job shutting down the opposing teams’ passing games and have 15 sacks, so that is an issue of concern for the Patriots.  Fred Taylor has been having a great year for the Patriots’ running game, but he had surgery on his ankle this week and might be done for the year.  That means Laurence Maroney will be getting the bulk of the carries and he has not been anywhere near as good as Taylor this year, as he is only averaging 2.9 yards per carry.  The Patriots will need more production out of Maroney in this game.  The Patriots defense needs to key on the Broncos running attack, with Correll Buckhalter and Knownshown Moreno killing defenses, but Buckhalter is out with an ankle injury so hopefully for the Pats Moreno is not as effective with more carries.  I think this will be a very close game, but I think Tom Brady will finally break out and lead his team to victory over the Broncos.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION:  New England Patriots 27, Denver Broncos 23

The over/under for wins in 2008 for the New England Patriots is 12.5

Blogged under Bloglockers,Front Page,If I was going to bet the farm.....,Vegas Lines by admin on Thursday 4 September 2008 at 7:05 pm

I have a hunch that the Patriots are going to have some issues this season with age and durability.  Tom Brady has been banged up for quite a while now and the defense is getting old in places.  Plus, the secondary could be a huge weakness for the Patriots this season.  Take the under and remember that I told you so.  But, they will still have a good football team in 2008.

The over/under for New England Patriots wins is 11.5 for 2007

Blogged under Bloglockers,Front Page,If I was going to bet the farm.....,Vegas Lines by dawgpounded on Saturday 8 September 2007 at 8:30 pm

This could be the best version of the Patriots to date so I would bet on the over.  By doing so I think the Patriots will win at least 12 games and after looking at the schedule I think they will have no problem winning that many games as long as Tom Brady stays healthy.  He will have his best receiving corps ever to throw to and 2nd year running back Laurence Maroney is ready to explode.  Look for the Patriots defense to be especially nasty this season.  Take the over and watch the wins roll in.

More Tom Brady Numbers

Blogged under Bloglockers,Front Page,If I was going to bet the farm..... by ravenhater on Saturday 20 January 2007 at 2:55 am

If I were the Colts I would be a little bit worried that Tom Brady is 12-1 in the post-season.  But that’s not the worst part for the Colts as Brady really loves the Colts playing surface.  Brady is a remarkable 23-1 in his career on Artificial Turf.  The amazing thing about that is Brady’s home field is a grass one.  All the numbers in this matchup are pointing to the Patriots winning this football game outright.  So I would think of taking the money line and letting the Sportsbook keep the points.